Android's got more problems than that, though. MG Siegler took a look at the recent market share numbers and comes to the conclusion that . Siegler notes that the only reason Android got as far ahead as it did (in the U.S. at least) was because Apple was only on one carrier.

What if Apple finally puts the iPhone on T-Mobile later this year? Given what we now know--again, from actual data--is there any question that it becomes the top smartphone there? What about the other, smaller regional carriers? That's already starting to happen.

Android's only hope is to actually have a phone, or a set of phones, that are more appealing to consumers than the iPhone. But that hasn't happened in the past four years, so what makes us think that will change this year?

Oh, come on, MG. There's always a reason to think that the 7-inch 3D Android projector phones that are coming out next quarter will drive customers away from the iPhone. Apple's failed to keep up in the feature war! Only a monstrous phone that you need oven-mitt-sized hands to operate will save them!

It's not just devices and market share, though, that are keeping Schmidt's fever dream from coming true. It's more about results.