Travel security in the Middle East and North Africa

11.03.2011

In Libya, if you are a successful business or have struck deals that are lucrative, odds are you have probably done so through the Libyan government. Odds are very high that you have done so with personal relations with the elite -- either Gadhafi himself or his sons and political allies. So, essentially you are one and the same with the political apparatus. Therefore, you're at risk for a number of reasons.

The first reason is that you may be viewed as a collaborator with the state. You could therefore be or shot or harmed on purpose.

The second reason in Libya is that there is a lot of hydrocarbon interest and there is a very high risk that if Mr. Gadhafi finds himself isolated and his armed forces are fragmented, he may, to turn a phrase, go out in a 'blaze of glory' and burn down some of the strategic assets in the country with him. That could mean airstrikes against oil facilities, against refineries, oil wells, against terminals, strategic infrastructure like airports and ports. Those may be deliberately targeted by heavy weaponry, so that's another risk.

In general, whenever you have a lack of security in an environment, where people are basically taking security into their own hands, you have a general opportunity for all sorts of things; like banditry and Jihadist militia who carry out opportunistic attacks for apolitical reasons sometimes. It just creates a vacuum and all sorts of agendas pop-up. You may find yourself unable to travel, unable to move, stuck at home. A curfew may be imposed and you may be shot on site for violating it. Libya is the extreme, I must emphasize. But it certainly is a graphic example of this kind of environment.