Projected Accuracy: 100%
They've already teased this one, so it's barely even a rumor, but I'm guessing this will finally be playable at the show. The New Super Mario Bros. games have been fun, but I think most Nintendo fans are salivating at the chance to play a new, original 3D iteration.
Projected Accuracy: 90%
This is going to happen, it's just a matter of when. It's a great fit for 3DS, considering all the passive (and active) connectivity options, though Nintendo will probably include safeguards that keep me from invading a friend's town and cutting down all their trees.